Maritimo vs Famalicao: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Maritimo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Famalicao wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maritimo vs Famalicao?
Famalicao starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,132 vs 2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maritimo vs Famalicao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maritimo
4-2-3-1- 17Adrián Butzke
- 10Martín Tejón
- 14Raphael Guzzo
- 8M. Dominguez
- 6Rodrigo Andrade
- 18V. Danilović
- 2Igor Julião
- 23Paulo Henrique
- 44Romain Correia
- 22G. Szalai
- 30Fran Vieites
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 7Sorriso
- 21Tamás Szücs
- 8Marcos Peña
- 23Gil Dias
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 28Pedro Francisco
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 4F. van Breemen
- 25L. Carević
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritimo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Famalicao have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alcochetense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maritimo win, 2 draws, 3 Famalicao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Famalicao 1-2 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Famalicao 3-2 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Maritimo 0-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Famalicao 0-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Maritimo 0-4 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Famalicao vs Maritimo on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maritimo score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritimo sit 11th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Famalicao sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Maritimo vs Famalicao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maritimo vs Famalicao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Maritimo.
- Where and when is Maritimo vs Famalicao played?
- Maritimo vs Famalicao is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Marítimo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.