GIL Vicente vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab model makes SC Braga the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs SC Braga?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (2,254 vs 2,058).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; SC Braga have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GIL Vicente win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SC Braga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | GIL Vicente 2-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | SC Braga 0-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SC Braga 2-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | GIL Vicente 0-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | SC Braga 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | GIL Vicente 3-3 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs SC Braga on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and SC Braga sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab model makes SC Braga the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs SC Braga played?
- GIL Vicente vs SC Braga is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.