Maritimo vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
The Footlab AI model makes Maritimo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maritimo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maritimo vs GIL Vicente?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Maritimo (2,062) and GIL Vicente (2,141).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maritimo vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maritimo
4-2-3-1- 17Adrián Butzke
- 14Raphael Guzzo
- 10Martín Tejón
- 8M. Dominguez
- 18V. Danilović
- 6Rodrigo Andrade
- 2Igor Julião
- 23Paulo Henrique
- 44Romain Correia
- 22G. Szalai
- 30Fran Vieites
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 23Héctor Hernández
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 45David Moreira
- 30Lucão
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritimo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; GIL Vicente have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Maritimo wins, 2 draws, 4 GIL Vicente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 5, 2023 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Maritimo 1-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 20, 2022 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Maritimo 1-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2021 | Maritimo 0-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs Maritimo on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maritimo score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritimo sit 11th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Maritimo vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maritimo vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maritimo the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is Maritimo vs GIL Vicente played?
- Maritimo vs GIL Vicente is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Marítimo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.