Casa Pia vs Estoril: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
The Footlab AI model makes Casa Pia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Estoril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casa Pia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casa Pia vs Estoril?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Casa Pia (1,977) and Estoril (1,998).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casa Pia vs Estoril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1- 9Henrique Araújo
- 80L. Ofori
- 16Silvi
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
- 11M. El Boukammiri
- 77B. Pauwels
- 18Geraldes
- 43David Sousa
- 75Pedro Rosas
- 3Kaly
- 95Ivan Mandić
Estoril
4-2-3-1- 14Y. Begraoui
- 12João Carvalho
- 10J. Holsgrove
- 44M. Robin
- 5A. Tsoungui
- 7André Lacximicant
- 2Ricard Sánchez
- 21R. Jurišić
- 6Xavi Sintes
- 15Isma Sierra
- 1Joel Robles
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Estoril have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Casa Pia wins, 3 draws, 1 Estoril win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Estoril 0-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 17th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Casa Pia vs Estoril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casa Pia vs Estoril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Casa Pia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Estoril.
- Where and when is Casa Pia vs Estoril played?
- Casa Pia vs Estoril is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.