GIL Vicente vs Moreirense: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If GIL Vicente wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,047 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate GIL Vicente (2,082) and Moreirense (2,007).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GIL Vicente vs Moreirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 99M. Kaba
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 79L. Vonić
- 23N. John
- 65Guilherme Liberato
- 10Kiko Bondoso
- 19Tiago Andrade
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
- 27Kiko
- 26Maracás
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 76Dinis Pinto
- 13André Ferreira
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Moreirense have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 GIL Vicente wins, 1 draw, 1 Moreirense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense 0-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | GIL Vicente 2-2 Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Moreirense 1-2 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | GIL Vicente 2-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2025 | GIL Vicente 1-0 Moreirense | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs GIL Vicente on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 6th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Moreirense sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs Moreirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes GIL Vicente the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs Moreirense played?
- GIL Vicente vs Moreirense is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.