Mazarrón FC vs Algar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Algar?
Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Plus Ultra(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bullense(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cieza(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazarrón FC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Algar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mazarrón FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Algar?
- The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Algar.
- Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Algar played?
- Mazarrón FC vs Algar is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027El PalmarvsSFC Minerva
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsSanta Cruz
- Mar 7, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 7, 2027Bala AzulvsUnión Molinense
- Mar 7, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 7, 2027AlcantarillavsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 7, 2027Águilas IIvsLos Garres
- Mar 7, 2027San JaviervsSantomera