Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,211 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Atlético Pulpileño (1,835) and Santa Cruz (1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Pulpileño
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Pulpileño lineup.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Atlético Pulpileño win, 1 draw, 1 Santa Cruz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santa Cruz 3-2 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Santa Cruz 0-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Atlético Pulpileño on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Pulpileño score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Pulpileño | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Pulpileño sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (12 points from 10 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 21 |
| 11 | Atlético Pulpileño | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz played?
- Atlético Pulpileño vs Santa Cruz is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.