El Palmar vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs SFC Minerva?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,643) and SFC Minerva (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Palmar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SFC Minerva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva 3-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | El Palmar 0-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 11, 2025 | El Palmar 3-4 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | SFC Minerva 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | El Palmar 1-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs El Palmar on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Palmar sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs SFC Minerva played?
- El Palmar vs SFC Minerva is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsSanta Cruz
- Mar 7, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAlgar
- Mar 7, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 7, 2027Bala AzulvsUnión Molinense
- Mar 7, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 7, 2027AlcantarillavsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 7, 2027Águilas IIvsLos Garres
- Mar 7, 2027San JaviervsSantomera