Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Unión Molinense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bala Azul wins, 3 draws, 1 Unión Molinense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Unión Molinense 2-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bala Azul 0-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Unión Molinense 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Bala Azul 1-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense played?
- Bala Azul vs Unión Molinense is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.