Águilas II vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas II vs Los Garres?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Águilas II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Águilas II vs Los Garres played?
- Águilas II vs Los Garres is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027El PalmarvsSFC Minerva
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsSanta Cruz
- Mar 7, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAlgar
- Mar 7, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 7, 2027Bala AzulvsUnión Molinense
- Mar 7, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 7, 2027AlcantarillavsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 7, 2027San JaviervsSantomera