Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża played?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Łomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752) and Łomża (1,844).

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win36 %

Draw23 %

Łomża win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Swit(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

Łomża
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)	2-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Weszlo(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2.3	1.8	0	6/6	6/6
Łomża	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
15	Łomża	5	0	2	3	5	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża?: The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża played?: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Łomża is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.