Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn played?

Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia Elbląg

Troszyn

The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn?

Troszyn starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,637).

Olimpia Elbląg win30 %

Draw24 %

Troszyn win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Troszyn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Sieradz(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Troszyn 2-1 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Sep 27, 2025	Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Troszyn	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Olimpia Elbląg on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15
Troszyn	1.3	1.8	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
17	Troszyn	5	0	1	4	4	15	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn?: The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn played?: Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.