Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab AI model makes Troszyn the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troszyn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,667 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,589) and Troszyn (1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olimpia Elbląg
Not enough data to predict the Olimpia Elbląg lineup.
Troszyn
Not enough data to predict the Troszyn lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Olimpia Elbląg wins, 1 draw, 1 Troszyn win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Troszyn 2-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Olimpia Elbląg on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (18 points from 14 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (11 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 11 |
A question about Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Troszyn the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Troszyn is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 15, 2027SwitvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 15, 2027Warta SieradzvsWeszlo
- May 15, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- May 15, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsJagiellonia II
- May 15, 2027Widzew IIvsMławianka Mława
- May 15, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁomża