Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,801) and Mławianka Mława (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Widzew II 0-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 1-2 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsTroszyn
- May 15, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 15, 2027SwitvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 15, 2027Warta SieradzvsWeszlo
- May 15, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- May 15, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsJagiellonia II
- May 15, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁomża