Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?

Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki

Wigry Suwałki

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,836) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).

Wigry Suwałki win53 %

Draw23 %

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigry Suwałki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Swit(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-3 Wigry Suwałki	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 12, 2025	Wigry Suwałki 3-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
May 25, 2025	Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 3, 2024	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-2 Wigry Suwałki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wigry Suwałki	1.6	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
6	Wigry Suwałki	5	2	3	0	5	2	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?: Wigry Suwałki vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.