Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,757) and Wisła Płock II (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 2-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 4-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Wisła Płock II 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsJagiellonia II
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsSwit
- Nov 28, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsMławianka Mława
- Nov 28, 2026Warta SieradzvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 28, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 28, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Nov 28, 2026WeszlovsŁomża