Pelikan Łowicz vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,652) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława 0-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 3-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 5-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 0-0 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 6-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Pelikan Łowicz on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Mławianka Mława is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsJagiellonia II
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsSwit
- Nov 28, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Nov 28, 2026Warta SieradzvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 28, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 28, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Nov 28, 2026WeszlovsŁomża