Simba vs Singida Black Stars: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Singida Black Stars. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Singida Black Stars?
Simba starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Singida Black Stars have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Simba win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Singida Black Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars 1-2 Simba | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Simba 2-0 Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Singida Black Stars 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2025 | Simba 1-0 Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Singida Black Stars 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Singida Black Stars vs Simba on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Singida Black Stars score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Singida Black Stars | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Singida Black Stars sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Singida Black Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Singida Black Stars.
- Where and when is Simba vs Singida Black Stars played?
- Simba vs Singida Black Stars is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.