Merthyr Town vs Marine: result 1-2 and analysis
National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Marine?
Marine won 1-2 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′G. NewellMarine
- 67′J. EvansMerthyr Town
- 90′Finlay Sinclair-SmithMarine
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Merthyr Town win at 50%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Marine have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Merthyr Town win, 0 draws, 1 Marine win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Marine 1-3 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Merthyr Town 1-3 Marine | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Marine vs Merthyr Town on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 17th in National League - North (19 points from 16 matches) and Marine sit 16th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Marine | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Marine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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