Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merthyr Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Merthyr Town starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Scarborough Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Scarborough Athletic lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Merthyr Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Scarborough Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 0-0 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 2-1 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Merthyr Town 1-3 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 17th in National League - North (19 points from 16 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 20th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 20 | Scarborough Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 16 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Scarborough Athletic.
- Where and when is Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Penydarren Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.