Mes Soongoun vs Mes Rafsanjan: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Yadegar-e-Imam Stadium, Tabriz
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mes Soongoun, 37% for a draw, 31% for Mes Rafsanjan. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mes Soongoun vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Mes Rafsanjan starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,617 vs 1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mes Soongoun have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mes Rafsanjan have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paykan(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mes Soongoun score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Rafsanjan score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes Soongoun | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Mes Rafsanjan | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 32 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mes Soongoun vs Mes Rafsanjan?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mes Soongoun, 37% for a draw, 31% for Mes Rafsanjan.
- Where and when is Mes Soongoun vs Mes Rafsanjan played?
- Mes Soongoun vs Mes Rafsanjan is played on September 22, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC) at Yadegar-e-Imam Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.