Havadar vs Be'sat Kermanshah: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Havadar the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 16% for Be'sat Kermanshah. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havadar vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Havadar starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havadar have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Be'sat Kermanshah have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 2-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 4-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Kerman(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Havadar(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Havadar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Be'sat Kermanshah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah 0-1 Havadar | Azadegan League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Havadar 2-2 Be'sat Kermanshah | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Be'sat Kermanshah vs Havadar on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havadar score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Be'sat Kermanshah score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havadar | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Be'sat Kermanshah | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havadar sit 6th in Azadegan League (40 points from 29 matches) and Be'sat Kermanshah sit 10th (35 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Havadar | 29 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havadar vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
- The Footlab model makes Havadar the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 16% for Be'sat Kermanshah.
- Where and when is Havadar vs Be'sat Kermanshah played?
- Havadar vs Be'sat Kermanshah is played on September 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.