Mes Kerman vs Saipa: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Shahid Bahonar Stadium, Kerman
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 28% for Mes Kerman, 40% for a draw, 32% for Saipa. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Mes Kerman (1,572) and Saipa (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mes Kerman have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Saipa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Havadar(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Navad Urmia(away) | 2-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Shahrdari Noshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mes Kerman win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Saipa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Mes Kerman 1-0 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Saipa 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| May 12, 2025 | Mes Kerman 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Saipa 2-1 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Saipa 0-0 Mes Kerman | Azadegan League |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Mes Kerman 0-0 Saipa | Azadegan League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mes Kerman score 0.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Saipa score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 17% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mes Kerman | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Saipa | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mes Kerman sit 7th in Azadegan League (39 points from 29 matches) and Saipa sit 4th (47 points from 29 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saipa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Mes Kerman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 28% for Mes Kerman, 40% for a draw, 32% for Saipa.
- Where and when is Mes Kerman vs Saipa played?
- Mes Kerman vs Saipa is played on September 22, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Shahid Bahonar Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 17% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 21, 2026Niroye ZaminivsFard Alborz
- Sep 21, 2026Shenavarsazi QeshmvsNovin Ahvaz
- Sep 21, 2026Shahin Bandar AmerivsPars Jonoubi JAM
- Sep 22, 2026HavadarvsBe'sat Kermanshah
- Sep 22, 2026Mes SoongounvsMes Rafsanjan
- Sep 22, 2026Naft Masjed SoleymanvsNaft Bandar Abbas
- Sep 22, 2026Naft GachsaranvsArio Eslamshahr