Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Novin Ahvaz: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm, 35% for a draw, 32% for Novin Ahvaz. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Novin Ahvaz?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenavarsazi Qeshm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Novin Ahvaz have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 1-3 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mes Soongoun(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Damash Gilanian(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Novin Ahvaz?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Shenavarsazi Qeshm, 35% for a draw, 32% for Novin Ahvaz.
- Where and when is Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Novin Ahvaz played?
- Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Novin Ahvaz is played on September 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.