Match

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metalist, Kharkiv

Metalist 1925 KharkivDynamo Kyiv

The Footlab AI model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Dynamo Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metalist 1925 Kharkiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,991) and Dynamo Kyiv (2,075).

44%29%27%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv winDrawDynamo Kyiv win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

4-2-3-1
  1. 98P. Itodo
  1. 5I. Kalyuzhnyi
  2. 18Y. Pavlyuk
  3. 14R. Gadzhiev
  4. 7B. Zabërgja
  5. 8O. Yatsyk
  1. 27I. Krupskyi
  2. 13V. Salyuk
  3. 31A. Shabanov
  4. 29A. Smolyakov
  1. 1H. Ermakov

Dynamo Kyiv

4-1-4-1
  1. 11M. Ponomarenko
  1. 6V. Brazhko
  2. 10M. Shaparenko
  3. 16S. Ogundana
  4. 9N. Voloshyn
  5. 8O. Pikhalyonok
  1. 94T. Kędziora
  2. 44V. Dubinchak
  3. 66A. Thiare
  4. 18O. Tymchyk
  1. 1H. Bushchan

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Mayak Sarny(away)2-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 19, 2026Livyi Bereh(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Chornomorets(away)2-1Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Bukovyna(home)2-0Premier League
Dynamo Kyiv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk(away)0-0Premier League
Nov 2, 2026Kryvbas KR(away)2-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk(away)0-3Cup
Oct 23, 2026Kudrivka(home)3-1Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Polessya(away)1-3Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win, 3 draws, 2 Dynamo Kyiv wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 Dynamo KyivPremier League
Oct 5, 2025Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier League
Feb 25, 2024Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo KyivPremier League
Dec 7, 2023Dynamo Kyiv 4-2 Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier League
Jun 4, 2023Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Dynamo KyivPremier League
Nov 26, 2022Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier League

Last archived meeting: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2.20.968/1510/15
Dynamo Kyiv1.20.984/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 4th in Premier League (21 points from 9 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Dynamo Kyiv1172216923
4Metalist 1925 Kharkiv970218721

A question about Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The Footlab AI model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Dynamo Kyiv.
Where and when is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metalist, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Dynamo Kyiv