Bandari vs Mara Sugar: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab AI model makes Bandari the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Mara Sugar. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bandari wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Bandari (1,522) and Mara Sugar (1,484).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bandari vs Mara Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bandari
Not enough data to predict the Bandari lineup.
Mara Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Mara Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandari have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mara Sugar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3K(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | KCB(away) | 2-0 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bandari win, 3 draws, 0 Mara Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bandari 0-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Bandari 1-0 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bandari vs Mara Sugar on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandari score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandari | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandari sit 13th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Mara Sugar sit 8th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Bandari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandari vs Mara Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bandari the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Mara Sugar.
- Where and when is Bandari vs Mara Sugar played?
- Bandari vs Mara Sugar is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.