Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Homeboyz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Murang'a SEAL wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Murang'a SEAL (1,481) and Homeboyz (1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
Homeboyz
Not enough data to predict the Homeboyz lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Homeboyz have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Murang'a SEAL wins, 1 draw, 3 Homeboyz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL 1-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Homeboyz 1-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Homeboyz 3-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-2 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Homeboyz 1-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL 1-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Homeboyz score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Homeboyz | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murang'a SEAL sit 8th in FKF Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Homeboyz sit 17th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Homeboyz.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.