Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Nairobi United. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Leopards wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Nairobi United (1,539) and AFC Leopards (1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairobi United have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; AFC Leopards have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nairobi United wins, 0 draws, 2 AFC Leopards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Nairobi United 0-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairobi United sit 9th in FKF Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and AFC Leopards sit 13th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairobi United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Nairobi United.
- Where and when is Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards played?
- Nairobi United vs AFC Leopards is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.