KCB vs Police: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for KCB. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Police?
Police starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,492).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCB vs Police
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Police have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 KCB wins, 3 draws, 3 Police wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Police 2-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 9, 2026 | KCB 0-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KCB 1-2 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Police 1-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Police 0-0 KCB | Shield Cup |
| Apr 13, 2024 | KCB 0-1 Police | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Police | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 5th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Police sit 9th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about KCB vs Police?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Police?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for KCB.
- Where and when is KCB vs Police played?
- KCB vs Police is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.