Sheffield Utd vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sheffield Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Watford?
Sheffield Utd starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheffield Utd vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Watford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sheffield Utd wins, 0 draws, 1 Watford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Watford 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2022 | Watford 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Watford vs Sheffield Utd on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 11th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Watford sit 20th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Sheffield Utd vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Watford.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Watford played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Watford is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.