Stoke City vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stoke City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,933) and Millwall (2,017).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Millwall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 40M. Talovierov
- 1V. Johansson
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 7T. Arconte
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Millwall have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 4 Millwall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Stoke City 1-3 Millwall | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Millwall 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Millwall 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stoke City 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Stoke City 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Millwall 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Millwall on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 4th in Championship (16 points from 9 matches) and Millwall sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Stoke City vs Millwall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Millwall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Millwall played?
- Stoke City vs Millwall is played on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.