Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
The Footlab model makes Mineros de Zacatecas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CDS Tampico Madero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Mineros de Zacatecas (1,878) and CDS Tampico Madero (1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Zacatecas have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; CDS Tampico Madero have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 5-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Leon(away) | 4-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tapatío(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Piratas(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mineros de Zacatecas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 CDS Tampico Madero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 16, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| May 12, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX |
| May 4, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 31, 2024 | CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CDS Tampico Madero score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| CDS Tampico Madero | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mineros de Zacatecas sit 8th in Liga de Expansión MX (5 points from 3 matches) and CDS Tampico Madero sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | CDS Tampico Madero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | CDS Tampico Madero | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero?
- The Footlab model makes Mineros de Zacatecas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CDS Tampico Madero.
- Where and when is Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero played?
- Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.