Mixco vs Xelajú: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, San Miguel Petapa
The Footlab AI model makes Mixco the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Xelajú. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mixco wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mixco vs Xelajú?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Mixco (1,681) and Xelajú (1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mixco vs Xelajú
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mixco
4-3-3- 10G. Arce
- 18J. Bolanos
- 99N. Martinez
- 9L. García
- 26Jerry
- 17F. Cuero
- 6C. Jiménez
- 33J. Sotomayor
- 14Rodrigo Marroquin
- 5D. Méndez
- 30K. Moscoso
Xelajú
4-3-3- 26E. Cardoza
- 29D. Casas
- 11S. Cárdenas
- 13W. Tebalán
- 70Y. Jaen
- 16J. Cardona
- 14J. Gónzalez
- 23R. Calderon
- 18J. Castañeda
- 5E. Monreal
- 98Estuardo Santiago Sican Avila
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mixco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Xelajú have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mixco wins, 1 draw, 2 Xelajú wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Xelajú 4-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Mixco 3-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Xelajú 2-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Xelajú 1-2 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Mixco 2-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Xelajú 1-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Mixco score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Xelajú score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixco | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Xelajú | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mixco sit 3rd in Liga Nacional (36 points from 22 matches) and Xelajú sit 1st (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 36 |
A question about Mixco vs Xelajú?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mixco vs Xelajú?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mixco the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Xelajú.
- Where and when is Mixco vs Xelajú played?
- Mixco vs Xelajú is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.