Olimpia Zambrów vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,702) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Olimpia Zambrów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 0-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2023 | Mławianka Mława 1-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 3-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Olimpia Zambrów on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Olimpia Zambrów vs Mławianka Mława is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWeszlo
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026SwitvsTroszyn
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew IIvsŁomża
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki