Mławianka Mława vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Mławianka Mława (1,716) and Wisła Płock II (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mławianka Mława win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 2-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 3-0 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Wisła Płock II 4-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Wisła Płock II is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 20, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 20, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsJagiellonia II
- Mar 20, 2027Warta SieradzvsSwit
- Mar 20, 2027ŁomżavsŁKS Łódź II
- Mar 20, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 20, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 20, 2027WeszlovsTroszyn