Match

Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki

Wigry SuwałkiOlimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,637).

Wigry Suwałki win64 %
Draw21 %
Olimpia Elbląg win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigry Suwałki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Troszyn(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Olimpia Elbląg 1-3 Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1
Oct 25, 2025Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1
Dec 4, 2021Olimpia Elbląg 4-1 Wigry SuwałkiII Liga - East
Aug 13, 2021Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Olimpia ElblągII Liga - East
Mar 6, 2021Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Wigry SuwałkiII Liga - East
Aug 28, 2020Wigry Suwałki 2-1 Olimpia ElblągII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wigry Suwałki1.60.777/155/15
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Wigry Suwałki5230529
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wigry Suwałki and Olimpia Elbląg

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