Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Olimpia Elbląg 4-1 Wigry Suwałki | II Liga - East |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Olimpia Elbląg | II Liga - East |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Wigry Suwałki | II Liga - East |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Wigry Suwałki 2-1 Olimpia Elbląg | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 20, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsJagiellonia II
- Mar 20, 2027Mławianka MławavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 20, 2027Warta SieradzvsSwit
- Mar 20, 2027ŁomżavsŁKS Łódź II
- Mar 20, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 20, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 20, 2027WeszlovsTroszyn