Warta Sieradz vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Swit. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Swit?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Warta Sieradz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 3-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Swit 0-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 2-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Swit 1-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Swit 0-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Swit on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Swit.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Swit played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Swit is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 20, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 20, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsJagiellonia II
- Mar 20, 2027Mławianka MławavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 20, 2027ŁomżavsŁKS Łódź II
- Mar 20, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 20, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 20, 2027WeszlovsTroszyn