Łomża vs ŁKS Łódź II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for ŁKS Łódź II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ŁKS Łódź II have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 18 | ŁKS Łódź II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs ŁKS Łódź II?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for ŁKS Łódź II.
- Where and when is Łomża vs ŁKS Łódź II played?
- Łomża vs ŁKS Łódź II is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Mar 20, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Mar 20, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsJagiellonia II
- Mar 20, 2027Mławianka MławavsWisła Płock II
- Mar 20, 2027Warta SieradzvsSwit
- Mar 20, 2027Widzew IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Mar 20, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Mar 20, 2027WeszlovsTroszyn