Match

Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock

Wisła Płock IIMławianka Mława

The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).

Wisła Płock II win47 %
Draw25 %
Mławianka Mława win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisła Płock II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)3-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Łomża(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Mławianka Mława
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Łomża(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Weszlo(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wisła Płock II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mławianka Mława win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Wisła Płock II 2-1 Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 22, 2025Mławianka Mława 2-1 Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 19, 2025Mławianka Mława 3-0 Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 21, 2024Wisła Płock II 4-2 Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisła Płock II1.71.5112/159/15
Mławianka Mława1.81.357/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Wisła Płock II5221988
14Mławianka Mława51135104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława?
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mławianka Mława.
Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława played?
Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisła Płock II and Mławianka Mława

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