Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Mławianka Mława (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wisła Płock II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 2-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 3-0 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Wisła Płock II 4-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Wisła Płock II vs Mławianka Mława is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026TroszynvsWeszlo
- Aug 29, 2026SwitvsWarta Sieradz
- Aug 29, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsWigry Suwałki
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPelikan Łowicz
- Aug 30, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsWidzew II
- Aug 30, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsŁomża