Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mokpo International Football Center Main (Grass Ground A), Mokpo
The Footlab model makes Yeoju Sejong the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Mokpo City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong?
Yeoju Sejong starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mokpo City have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Yeoju Sejong have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 1-6 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheonan City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gangneung City(home) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Anseong(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mokpo City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yeoju Sejong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong 2-3 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Mokpo City 0-3 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Yeoju Sejong 3-1 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Yeoju Sejong 3-3 Mokpo City | FA Cup |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Mokpo City 2-3 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Mokpo City | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Yeoju Sejong vs Mokpo City on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mokpo City score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yeoju Sejong score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mokpo City | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Yeoju Sejong | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mokpo City sit 13th in K3 League (15 points from 19 matches) and Yeoju Sejong sit 7th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Yeoju Sejong | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 7 | Yeoju Sejong | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong?
- The Footlab model makes Yeoju Sejong the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Mokpo City.
- Where and when is Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong played?
- Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mokpo International Football Center Main (Grass Ground A), in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.