Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Jeongwang Sports Park, Siheung-si
The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Pocheon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Siheung Citizen (1,773) and Pocheon (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siheung Citizen have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Pocheon have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Seongnam FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Siheung Citizen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Pocheon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pocheon 1-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Pocheon 2-3 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| May 10, 2025 | Siheung Citizen 1-1 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Siheung Citizen 0-1 Pocheon | K3 League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Pocheon 2-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Siheung Citizen 0-0 Pocheon | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Pocheon vs Siheung Citizen on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siheung Citizen score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pocheon score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siheung Citizen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Pocheon | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siheung Citizen sit 1st in K3 League (43 points from 19 matches) and Pocheon sit 2nd (39 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Pocheon | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon?
- The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Pocheon.
- Where and when is Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon played?
- Siheung Citizen vs Pocheon is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Jeongwang Sports Park, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.