Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bangor 1876. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Mold Alexandra (1,625) and Bangor 1876 (1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Bangor 1876 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-5 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mold Alexandra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bangor 1876 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 6-1 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Bangor 1876 3-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Bangor 1876 1-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 3-1 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bangor 1876 score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bangor 1876 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 6th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Bangor 1876 sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bangor 1876 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bangor 1876.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.