Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Molodechno
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Niva have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Volna(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Niva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Niva 6-0 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-0 Niva | 1. Division |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Niva 0-0 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 1-2 Niva | 1. Division |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Niva 1-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Niva vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 sit 6th in 1. Division (35 points from 21 matches) and Niva sit 1st (42 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 35 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4.
- Where and when is Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva played?
- Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.