Volna vs Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Valna, Pinsk
The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Volna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna vs Minsk II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Volna (1,432) and Minsk II (1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Minsk II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Volna win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Minsk II 1-2 Volna | 1. Division |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Volna 2-3 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Minsk II 0-1 Volna | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Minsk II 0-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Volna 2-2 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2013 | Volna 3-0 Minsk II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna sit 8th in 1. Division (31 points from 21 matches) and Minsk II sit 10th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna vs Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Volna.
- Where and when is Volna vs Minsk II played?
- Volna vs Minsk II is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Valna, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.