Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
Migori Youth starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,538 vs 1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mombasa Elite have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Migori Youth have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Naivas(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Luanda Villa(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | 3K(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mwatate United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mombasa Elite win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Migori Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Mombasa Elite 0-0 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Migori Youth 3-2 Mombasa Elite | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mombasa Elite 4-1 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Migori Youth 0-1 Mombasa Elite | Super League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Migori Youth 0-0 Mombasa Elite | Super League |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Mombasa Elite 2-4 Migori Youth | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mombasa Elite score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth played?
- Mombasa Elite vs Migori Youth is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.