Tusker vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Tusker. The most likely score is 0-0. If AFC Leopards wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tusker vs AFC Leopards?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Tusker (1,559) and AFC Leopards (1,592).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tusker vs AFC Leopards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Leopards have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tusker win, 2 draws, 3 AFC Leopards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Tusker 0-4 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Tusker 0-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | AFC Leopards 4-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tusker 1-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | AFC Leopards 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Tusker on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 2nd in FKF Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and AFC Leopards sit 12th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Tusker vs AFC Leopards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tusker vs AFC Leopards?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Tusker.
- Where and when is Tusker vs AFC Leopards played?
- Tusker vs AFC Leopards is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ruaraka Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.