Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-1. If APS Bomet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Murang'a SEAL (1,462) and APS Bomet (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 2-4 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Murang'a SEAL wins, 1 draw, 1 APS Bomet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL 2-1 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | APS Bomet 0-2 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2022 | APS Bomet 1-1 Murang'a SEAL | Super League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL 1-2 APS Bomet | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murang'a SEAL sit 5th in FKF Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and APS Bomet sit 15th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Murang'a SEAL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | APS Bomet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs APS Bomet is played on March 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.