Monaco vs Paris FC: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Paris FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Paris FC?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Monaco (2,191) and Paris FC (2,112).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monaco vs Paris FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 29Paris Josua Brunner
- 6D. Zakaria
- 8L. Camara
- 10A. Golovin
- 37E. Diop
- 11M. Abline
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 15E. Dier
- 1L. Hrádecký
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 15L. Koleosho
- 42D. Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 31S. Chergui
- 6Otávio
- 1K. Trapp
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Paris FC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Monaco wins, 0 draws, 3 Paris FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paris FC 3-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Paris FC 4-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Monaco 0-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monaco sit 7th in Ligue 1 (15 points from 9 matches) and Paris FC sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Monaco vs Paris FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Paris FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Paris FC.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Paris FC played?
- Monaco vs Paris FC is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.