Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Strasbourg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,056) and Estac Troyes (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 9J. Le Douaron
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 11I. Gomis
- 7K. Diawara
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 33P. Beach
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Estac Troyes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-6 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Strasbourg wins, 3 draws, 1 Estac Troyes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes 2-6 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2023 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Strasbourg 2-3 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Strasbourg 1-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Strasbourg 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 11th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes played?
- Strasbourg vs Estac Troyes is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.