Lille vs Angers: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Angers. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lille vs Angers?
Lille starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (2,106 vs 1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lille vs Angers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Angers
4-3-3- 18J. Allevinah
- 10A. Sbaï
- 9P. Peter
- 8B. van den Boomen
- 14Y. Belkhdim
- 93H. Belkebla
- 21J. Lefort
- 4O. Camara
- 17J. Kalulu
- 2C. Arcus
- 1Anthony Lopes
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Angers have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lille wins, 0 draws, 1 Angers win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Angers 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Angers 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lille 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Angers 0-2 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lille 2-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Angers 1-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Angers score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Angers | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Angers sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Lille vs Angers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lille vs Angers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Angers.
- Where and when is Lille vs Angers played?
- Lille vs Angers is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.