Match

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasMontana

The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,690) and Montana (1,627).

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win52 %
Draw26 %
Montana win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Montana have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hebar 1918(away)0-1Second League
Aug 17, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Vihren(away)1-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Beroe(home)1-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Montana win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2024Montana 2-2 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
Sep 23, 2023Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-1 MontanaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Montana vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Apr 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1.00.956/153/15
Montana1.21.338/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Montana sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Montana5212987
15Chernomorets 1919 Burgas5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana?
The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Montana.
Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana played?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Montana

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